From: The utility of biomarker risk prediction score in patients with chronic heart failure
Models | AUC ROC | P value | IDI, % | P value | NRI, % | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction of risk of one year all-cause mortality | ||||||
Seattle Heart Failure Model (Standard) | 0,738 ± 0,16 | 0,001 | - | - | - | - |
Heart Failure Risk Calculator | 0.779 ± 0.19 | 0.001 | 6.4 ± 0.7 % | 0,001 | 10.1 ± 0.99 % | 0.002 |
Barcelona Bio-HF without biomarker assay | 0.788 ± 0.15 | 0.002 | 7.9 ± 0.6 % | 0.001 | 12.8 ± 1.21 % | 0.002 |
Barcelona Bio-HF with biomarker assay | 0.798 ± 0.13 | 0.002 | 11.4 ± 0.7 % | 0.003 | 15.7 ± 1.18 % | 0.001 |
Biomarker risk predictive score* | 0.803 ± 0.11 | 0.001 | 13.9 ± 0.9 % | 0,001 | 19.6 ± 1.65 % | 0.002 |
Prediction of risk of two year all-cause mortality | ||||||
Seattle Heart Failure Model (Standard) | 0.722 ± 0.15 | 0.002 | - | - | - | - |
Barcelona Bio-HF without biomarker assay | 0.732 ± 0.16 | 0.003 | 5.3 ± 0.3 % | 0.001 | 6.8 ± 0.92 % | 0.003 |
Barcelona Bio-HF with biomarker assay | 0.744 ± 0.14 | 0.001 | 6.8 ± 0.5 % | 0.001 | 7.5 ± 1.10 % | 0.003 |
Biomarker risk predictive score* | 0.768 ± 0.11 | 0.001 | 10.1 ± 1.02 % | 0.001 | 17.1 ± 1.54 % | 0.001 |
Prediction of risk of three year all-cause mortality | ||||||
Seattle Heart Failure Model (Standard) | 0.743 ± 0.12 | 0.002 | - | - | - | - |
Heart Failure Risk Calculator | 0.788 ± 0.14 | 0.001 | 7.2 ± 0.2 % | 0,001 | 12.5 ± 1.09 % | 0.001 |
Barcelona Bio-HF without biomarker assay | 0.796 ± 0.12 | 0.003 | 7.9 ± 0.5 % | 0.001 | 17.6 ± 1.23 % | 0.002 |
Barcelona Bio-HF with biomarker assay | 0.805 ± 0.09 | 0.001 | 11.4 ± 1.12 % | 0.003 | 22.1 ± 1.55 % | 0.001 |
Biomarker risk predictive score* | 0.818 ± 0,14 | 0.001 | 13.9 ± 1.15 % | 0.001 | 28.9 ± 2.3 % | 0.002 |
Prediction of risk of one year readmission | ||||||
National Heart Care Project (Standard) | 0.762 ± 0.16 | 0.001 | - | - | - | - |
Biomarker risk predictive score* | 0.844 ± 0.15 | 0.001 | 15.5 ± 1.60 % | 0.002 | 31.7 ± 2.77 % | 0.001 |